Evaluation of Adaptive Utilization Capacity of Water Resources and Analysis of Driving Element: A Case Study of Tarim River Basin

The research on the adaptive utilization of water resources (AUWR) is great significance to improve coordinated development among resources, economic society, and ecological environment in complex environments, promote regional resources. Based calculation method harmony theory comprehensive co-evolution model, this paper obtains degree capacity (AUCWR) each subsystem Tarim River Basin (TRB), analyzes main factors affecting AUCWR, finally compares two methods. results show that: (1) From 2004 2018, AUCWR TRB has gradually improved (harmony method: from 0.43 0.56 with a growth rate 30.23%; model 0.37 0.62 significant increase 67.57%) (2) perspective indicators, indicators such as per capita GDP, proportion non-agricultural output value net income rural residents have greater impact TRB. Using different methods analyze temporal spatial distribution characteristics important guiding for future social development, protection.